The University of Arizona

precipitation

Southwest Climate Outlook for May 2010

Date Posted: 
May 26, 2010
Publisher: 
CLIMAS

2009 Monsoon Season Outlook Web-Briefing

CLIMAS and Arizona Cooperative Extension will host an online climate briefing about the 2009 monsoon for natural resource managers, extension faculty, and interested citizens on May 21 at 10:00 a.m. PDT. Colleagues from northern Mexico are especially invited to participate, as forecasts will cover the U.S.-Mexico border region.

Event Date and Time: 
May 21, 2009
Location: 
Web briefing
Contact Information: 

Mike Crimmins
crimmins@u.arizona.edu

Average Monsoon Precipitation

Average monsoon precipitation (June 15 through September 31) since 1895 for Tucson and 1896 for Phoenix. This data was obtained from the National Weather Service in Tucson.

Monsoon Precipitation in the Southwest

The data for Arizona was obtained from the NWS Tucson; New Mexico data was compiled from the Western Regional Climate Center.

Arizona and New Mexico During El Niño Winters

During El Niño years, all climate divisions in Arizona and New Mexico tend to receive above-average winter precipitation. Values represent the percentage of December-March precipitation compared to non-El Niño years for the period 1895-1996.

Trends in the Frequency of Extreme Flooding Events

Trends in the frequency of precipitation events in which precipitation over a 7-day duration exceeds a 1-year recurrence interval for each particular climate division. Blue circles are positive trends, red circles are negative trends. The magnitude of the trend is linearly proportional to the radius of the circle.

Snow Monitoring Sites in the Western United States

Snow monitoring sites in the Western U.S. with at least 20 years of data. Additional sites with less data are not displayed.

Space-Time Domain of Weather, Climatic, and Flooding Events

Meteorological and climatological flood-producing events operate at varying temporal and spatial scales.

Map of Mean Calendar Date of Monsoon Onset

The map shows the mean calendar date of monsoon onset, based on the time frame 1963–1988. Onset definitions vary depending on region because of differences in rainfall regimes. Although average onset date may change slightly if different time frames are used, the relative timing of the northward progression of the monsoon should remain intact.