Jonathan Overpeck and Bradley Udall summarize recent climate changes in western North America in the journal Science. They highlight that the West, particularly the Southwest, needs to prepare for even larger climate changes in the future.
This conference will bring together representatives from the U.S.-Mexican border states, federal officials, local water agencies and academia to discuss drought in the border area, including climatic drivers, the outlook for improving climate forecasting skills, the possibility of long-term drying trends in the region, and Colorado River Basin/Rio Grande Basin drought management activities.
The CPAS workshop brings together a diverse group of climate applications researchers, climate product producers, and users to share developments in research and applications related to the use of climate predictions in societal decision-making.
James Hocker, Oklahoma Climatological Survey
Using an "ensemble" of 18 global climate models and the moderate "A1B" emissions scenario, researchers at the NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL) predict warming in the Southwest at the end of this century of approximately 5-7 degrees F for winter (December-February) relative to average temperatures 1971-2000.