The University of Arizona

adaptation planning

Planning process for Joshua Tree National Park

The National Park Service followed a five-step scenario planning process for Joshua Tree National Park.

Test Case: Scenario Planning for Joshua Tree National Park

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Why Joshua Tree?

Visitors from around the world are drawn to California’s Joshua Tree National Park, with its iconic namesake plants and massive, rugged rock formations.

Adaptation reduces vulnerability and increases resilience

This figure illustrates conceptual relationships between climate variability and change, vulnerability, and adaptation. Under a variable climate systems and organizations develop a capacity to adapt that is relatively static. As the climate changes, past capacity to adapt may not be sufficient to avoid greater vulnerability.

Increased exposure to coastal flooding along the Los Angeles costline due to sea level rise

With the use of Geographic Information Systems, researchers were able to create this map and others of the California coastline that show how areas succeptible to coastal flooding will expand as sea level rises.

Assessing Vulnerability to Climate Change

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In the Southwest, projected impacts of climate change, such as drier winters, less snowpack, and more frequent droughts, will likely have significant consequences for the environment, the economy, and quality of life in the region.

Climate Change Adaptation Planning Guides

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When planning for the future, government, community, and business leaders are increasingly acknowledging the need to consider changes to the climate, like warmer temperatures and more extreme weather.